Society

You might have read how AI is the end of society. Perhaps Alap Shah’s “2028 global intelligence crisis” fearing a 38% S&P crash and a white-collar displacement spiral. Or Matt Shumer and the end of coding. Or Leopold Aschenbrenner “Situational Awareness” trillion-dollar compute clusters. TechCrunch: “the gradual unspooling of the economy itself.” But notice every single one of them is on the capital side of the table. They see what happens to the world (which they fund). But what about the rest of us? — the builders, the consumers, the nature lovers, the patients, … IMO news of society’s death is greatly exaggerated. ...

In the field of genetic ancestry, services like 23andMe enable us to trace our roots back 100,000 years. However, the recent ancestry — the closer generations to us — are paradoxically harder to trace. Why? This is in part due to advent of increasingly common, fast, and cheap travel: horses, ships, trains, cars, planes, … It basically mixes populations in much deeper, complex, dynamic ways. The technological revolution made genetic ancestry possible, but also complicates the assumption that one can easily relate location with DNA. Similarly, today, a comparable shift is taking place in the digital world. As I explain below, we can no longer assume that any digital record is a factual representation of the present or the past. This was the case before. It is the end of presumption of digital veracity. ...